Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming
Los Angeles at Kansas City
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEUpcoming
56%LAC
44%KC
ATLAS projected final
36LAC
-35KC
Confidence56%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
H2H8-3 Gi0D0g88
A ATLAS READ
Chargers are favored, and the model agrees.
Chargers enter with the model lean at 56% and enough statistical support to back the record. Chiefs need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Chargers deeper into the race. Chiefs need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Chargers are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 339 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 27.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Chiefs can win
- EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Chargers.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #7 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02
Keys to the game
1Chiefs
Finish scoring drives
Chiefs need their 17.2 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Chargers
Control the repeat script
Chargers have taken the last 4 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Chiefs can win the stat sheet; Chargers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
J. Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
2,646
PASS YDS
25TD
7INT
O. Hampton
HB · Los Angeles Chargers
547
RUSH YDS
7TD
88ATT
L. McConkey
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
944
REC YDS
10TD
60REC
Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
P. Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
1,786
PASS YDS
9TD
4INT
D. Edwards
HB · Kansas City Chiefs
426
RUSH YDS
0TD
120ATT
X. Worthy
WR · Kansas City Chiefs
568
REC YDS
4TD
34REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
KC 1-4 LACRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W13Chiefs at ChargersLAC41-35
S6 · W3Chargers at ChiefsLAC31-13
S5 · W12Chargers at ChiefsLAC31-27
S5 · W10Chiefs at ChargersLAC58-34
S4 · W13Chiefs at ChargersKC35-21