Game Center · S7 · W8 · Upcoming
Chicago at Los Angeles
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 8
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Bears
Chicago
4-3CHI
TOwnerTroyUpcoming
52%CHI
48%LAC
ATLAS projected final
28CHI
-24LAC
Confidence52%
Primary driverCHI ball security
Home
Chargers
Los Angeles
3-5LAC
GOwnerGioA ATLAS READ
The numbers say Chargers. The record says Bears.
Chargers bring the sharper yardage profile at 346 YPG with a #6 offense. Bears still own the cleaner path: 52% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Bears deeper into the race. Chargers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Chargers are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Bears can win
- EDGEBall security - a +0.16 better turnover margin than Chargers.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #6 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02
Keys to the game
1Chargers
Finish scoring drives
Chargers need their 28.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Bears
Control the repeat script
Bears have taken the last 2 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Chargers can win the stat sheet; Bears can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Chicago Bears
Bears need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
CW
C. Williams
QB · Chicago Bears
1,493
PASS YDS
11TD
2INT
DC
D. Carradine
HB · Chicago Bears
496
RUSH YDS
7TD
104ATT
LB
L. Burden III
WR · Chicago Bears
387
REC YDS
3TD
23REC
Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
JH
J. Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
1,964
PASS YDS
19TD
5INT
OH
O. Hampton
HB · Los Angeles Chargers
387
RUSH YDS
5TD
68ATT
LM
L. McConkey
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
676
REC YDS
7TD
47REC
04
Recent form
Bears3-2 · last 5
LW7vs Steelers30-36
LW6@ Vikings10-17
WW4vs Lions29-22
WW3@ Chiefs31-24
WW2vs Packers28-20
Chargers2-3 · last 5
WW7@ Broncos34-31
LW6vs Raiders24-27
LW5vs Broncos28-35
WW4vs Jaguars30-17
LW3@ Titans25-28
05
Head to head
LAC 0-2 CHIRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.
S5 · W0Chargers at BearsCHI49-47
S3 · W9Chargers at BearsCHI55-35