Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Detroit at Dallas
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
27%DET
73%DAL
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
31DET
-39DAL
Confidence73%
Primary driverPower Gap
Home
Clutch
Cowboys
Dallas
0-1DAL
ClutchA ATLAS READ
Yardage favors Lions. ATLAS favors Cowboys.
Lions bring the sharper yardage profile at 383 YPG with a #11 offense. Cowboys still own the cleaner path: 73% by ATLAS, with home field on their side.
Why it mattersA win pulls Cowboys deeper into the race. Lions need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Cowboys are favored
- RISKTurnovers - a -4.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #11 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Lions can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #11 offense, 383 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 52.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +4.00 better turnover margin than Cowboys.
02
Keys to the game
1Lions
Finish scoring drives
Lions need their 52.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Cowboys
Win the clean possessions
Cowboys are the model side at 73%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Lions can win the stat sheet; Cowboys can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Detroit Lions
Lions need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
A. Richardson Sr
QB · Detroit Lions
191
PASS YDS
2TD
1INT
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
159
RUSH YDS
3TD
16ATT
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
80
REC YDS
1TD
3REC
Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
D. Prescott
QB · Dallas Cowboys
248
PASS YDS
1TD
3INT
G. Gholston
HB · Dallas Cowboys
29
RUSH YDS
0TD
8ATT
C. Lamb
WR · Dallas Cowboys
101
REC YDS
0TD
5REC
04
Recent form
Cowboys0-1 · last 1
05
Head to head
First meeting.