Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming
Green Bay at Washington
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Packers
Green Bay
3-7GB
Bdiddy86Upcoming
41%GB
59%WSH
ATLAS projected final
31GB
-34WSH
Confidence59%
Primary driverHome Field
A ATLAS READ
Commanders are favored, and the model agrees.
Commanders enter with the model lean at 59% and enough statistical support to back the record. Packers need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Commanders deeper into the race. Packers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Commanders are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #10 offense, 363 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 27.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +0.60 better turnover margin than Packers.
Why Packers can win
- EDGEGame script - Packers can tilt this if they keep Commanders out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
1Packers
Finish scoring drives
Packers need their 20.6 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Commanders
Win the clean possessions
Commanders are the model side at 59%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Packers can win the stat sheet; Commanders can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Green Bay Packers
Packers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
D. Meander
QB · Green Bay Packers
2,129
PASS YDS
16TD
1INT
B. Cooks
HB · Green Bay Packers
579
RUSH YDS
4TD
151ATT
M. Golden
WR · Green Bay Packers
665
REC YDS
2TD
55REC
Washington Commanders
Commanders lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
J. Daniels
QB · Washington Commanders
2,884
PASS YDS
26TD
3INT
M. McDermott
HB · Washington Commanders
551
RUSH YDS
7TD
154ATT
W. Robinson
WR · Washington Commanders
889
REC YDS
10TD
53REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
WSH 2-2 GBRecent finals across the latest 4 meetings.
S4 · W4Commanders at PackersWSH35-7
S3 · W18Commanders at PackersGB34-31
S2 · W9Packers at CommandersWSH63-33
S1 · W1Commanders at PackersGB28-27