Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming
Cincinnati at New England
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEUpcoming
47%CIN
53%NE
ATLAS projected final
38CIN
-38NE
Confidence53%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
H2H5-0 TrombettaThanYou
Home
Patriots
New England
6-4NE
ShottazA ATLAS READ
Patriots are favored, and the model agrees.
Patriots enter with the model lean at 53% and enough statistical support to back the record. Bengals need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Patriots deeper into the race. Bengals need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Patriots are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #1 offense, 425 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 33.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Bengals can win
- EDGEBall security - a +0.60 better turnover margin than Patriots.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02
Keys to the game
1Bengals
Finish scoring drives
Bengals need their 25.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Patriots
Win the clean possessions
Patriots are the model side at 53%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Bengals can win the stat sheet; Patriots can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
J. Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
2,231
PASS YDS
19TD
5INT
T. Dobbins
HB · Cincinnati Bengals
633
RUSH YDS
7TD
140ATT
J. Chase
WR · Cincinnati Bengals
682
REC YDS
12TD
45REC
New England Patriots
Patriots lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
D. Maye
QB · New England Patriots
3,716
PASS YDS
35TD
5INT
K. Walker III
HB · New England Patriots
199
RUSH YDS
4TD
47ATT
E. Peralta
WR · New England Patriots
1,092
REC YDS
17TD
81REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
NE 0-5 CINRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W19Patriots at BengalsCIN41-31
S6 · W7Bengals at PatriotsCIN31-27
S4 · W18Patriots at BengalsCIN40-34
S4 · W1Bengals at PatriotsCIN34-10
S1 · W11Patriots at BengalsCIN41-7