Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming
New York at Denver
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEUpcoming
38%NYJ
62%DEN
ATLAS projected final
31NYJ
-35DEN
Confidence62%
Primary driverHome Field
A ATLAS READ
Broncos are favored, and the model agrees.
Broncos enter with the model lean at 62% and enough statistical support to back the record. Jets need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Broncos deeper into the race. Jets need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Broncos are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #12 offense, 358 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.2 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 3 meetings in this series.
Why Jets can win
- EDGEBall security - a +0.14 better turnover margin than Broncos.
- EDGEGame script - Jets can tilt this if they keep Broncos out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
1Jets
Finish scoring drives
Jets need their 17.8 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Broncos
Control the repeat script
Broncos have taken the last 3 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Jets can win the stat sheet; Broncos can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
New York Jets
Jets need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
B. Morris
QB · New York Jets
1,741
PASS YDS
11TD
5INT
D. Crawford
HB · New York Jets
817
RUSH YDS
5TD
167ATT
G. Rutherford
WR · New York Jets
466
REC YDS
2TD
35REC
Denver Broncos
Broncos lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
B. Nix
QB · Denver Broncos
2,486
PASS YDS
22TD
6INT
R. Harvey
HB · Denver Broncos
783
RUSH YDS
2TD
163ATT
C. Fitzsimmons
WR · Denver Broncos
707
REC YDS
10TD
53REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
DEN 3-0 NYJRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S5 · W4Jets at BroncosDEN46-45
S2 · W2Broncos at JetsDEN52-28
S1 · W5Broncos at JetsDEN38-15