Game Center · S1 · W4 · Upcoming
Arizona at New York
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 1 . Week 4
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
NastyMofo (Cardinals)
Cardinals
Arizona
1-2ARI
NastyMofo (Cardinals)Upcoming
48%ARI
52%NYG
ATLAS projected final
28ARI
-28NYG
Confidence52%
Primary driverBalanced
Home
Nolte (Giants)
Giants
New York
1-2NYG
Nolte (Giants)A ATLAS READ
Giants are favored, and the model agrees.
Cardinals bring the sharper yardage profile at 311 YPG with a #31 offense. Giants still own the cleaner path: 52% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Giants deeper into the race. Cardinals need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Giants are favored
- EDGEBall security - a +2.33 better turnover margin than Cardinals.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Cardinals can win
- RISKTurnovers - a -1.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 33.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #11 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02
Keys to the game
1Cardinals
Protect the football
Cardinals have the yardage profile, but a -1.00 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.
2Giants
Win the clean possessions
Giants are the model side at 52%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Cardinals can win the stat sheet; Giants can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Arizona Cardinals
Cardinals need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
C. Beck
QB · Arizona Cardinals
419
PASS YDS
2TD
4INT
J. Love
HB · Arizona Cardinals
259
RUSH YDS
3TD
36ATT
T. McBride
TE · Arizona Cardinals
213
REC YDS
1TD
11REC
New York Giants
Giants lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
J. Dart
QB · New York Giants
626
PASS YDS
4TD
4INT
C. Skattebo
HB · New York Giants
225
RUSH YDS
3TD
42ATT
J. Hyatt
WR · New York Giants
174
REC YDS
0TD
8REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
NYG 1-3 ARIRecent finals across the latest 4 meetings.
S5 · W19Giants at CardinalsARI49-14
S5 · W6Cardinals at GiantsARI48-24
S3 · W4Cardinals at GiantsARI41-34
S2 · W7Cardinals at GiantsNYG55-28