Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming

New England at Seattle

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
38%NE
62%SEA

Pregame probability · excluding ties

ATLAS projected final
31NE
-
35SEA
Confidence62%
Primary driverPower Gap
Spread
Total
Money
A ATLAS READ

Yardage favors Patriots. ATLAS favors Seahawks.

Patriots bring the sharper yardage profile at 314 YPG with a #25 offense. Seahawks still own the cleaner path: 62% by ATLAS, with home field on their side.

Why it mattersA win pulls Seahawks deeper into the race. Patriots need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Seahawks are favored
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 30.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +2.00 better turnover margin than Patriots.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Patriots can win
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #2 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
  • EDGEGame script - Patriots can tilt this if they keep Seahawks out of short fields.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Patriots

Finish scoring drives

Patriots need their 16.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Seahawks

Win the clean possessions

Seahawks are the model side at 62%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Patriots can win the stat sheet; Seahawks can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Seattle SeahawksSeason leaders

Seahawks lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

J. Milroe
QB · Seattle Seahawks
230
PASS YDS
1TD
1INT
T. Benson
HB · Seattle Seahawks
39
RUSH YDS
2TD
16ATT
E. Arroyo
TE · Seattle Seahawks
59
REC YDS
0TD
6REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Patriots0-1 · last 1
LW1 vs 49ers16-27
Seahawks1-0 · last 1
WW1 @ Broncos30-17
05

Head to head

First meeting.