Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming

Arizona at New Orleans

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
25%ARI
75%NO

Pregame probability · excluding ties

ATLAS projected final
27ARI
-
36NO
Confidence75%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
Spread
Total
Money
🔒MISMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Yardage favors Cardinals. ATLAS favors Saints.

Cardinals bring the sharper yardage profile at 371 YPG with a #14 offense. Saints still own the cleaner path: 75% by ATLAS, with home field on their side.

Why it mattersA win pulls Saints deeper into the race. Cardinals need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Saints are favored
  • EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Cardinals.
  • EDGEGame script - Saints can tilt this if they keep Cardinals out of short fields.
Why Cardinals can win
  • RISKTurnovers - a -1.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Cardinals

Protect the football

Cardinals have the yardage profile, but a -1.00 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.

2Saints

Win the clean possessions

Saints are the model side at 75%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Cardinals can win the stat sheet; Saints can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Cardinals need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

B. Hammond
QB · Arizona Cardinals
307
PASS YDS
4TD
2INT
J. Love
HB · Arizona Cardinals
64
RUSH YDS
0TD
14ATT
T. McBride
TE · Arizona Cardinals
75
REC YDS
1TD
7REC
New Orleans SaintsSeason leaders

Saints lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

T. Shough
QB · New Orleans Saints
215
PASS YDS
0TD
1INT
M. Wallner
HB · New Orleans Saints
66
RUSH YDS
1TD
5ATT
O. Delp
TE · New Orleans Saints
90
REC YDS
0TD
7REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Cardinals0-1 · last 1
LW1 vs Rams28-31
Saints0-1 · last 1
LW1 @ Chargers16-38
05

Head to head

First meeting.