Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Washington at Cincinnati
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
59%WSH
41%CIN
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
34WSH
-31CIN
Confidence59%
Primary driverPower Gap
A ATLAS READ
Yardage favors Bengals. ATLAS favors Commanders.
Bengals bring the sharper yardage profile at 361 YPG with a #16 offense. Commanders still own the cleaner path: 59% by ATLAS despite playing away.
Why it mattersA win pulls Commanders deeper into the race. Bengals need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Commanders are favored
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 31.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +2.00 better turnover margin than Bengals.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #4 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Bengals can win
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 31.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEGame script - Bengals can tilt this if they keep Commanders out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
1Bengals
Finish scoring drives
Bengals need their 31.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Commanders
Win the clean possessions
Commanders are the model side at 59%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Bengals can win the stat sheet; Commanders can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Washington Commanders
Commanders need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
J. Daniels
QB · Washington Commanders
273
PASS YDS
1TD
0INT
J. Croskey-Merritt
HB · Washington Commanders
39
RUSH YDS
2TD
13ATT
A. Williams
WR · Washington Commanders
88
REC YDS
0TD
5REC
Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
J. Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
247
PASS YDS
0TD
1INT
M. Hunt
HB · Cincinnati Bengals
86
RUSH YDS
2TD
18ATT
J. Chase
WR · Cincinnati Bengals
92
REC YDS
0TD
6REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.