Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Chicago at New York
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
33%CHI
67%NYG
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
28CHI
-34NYG
Confidence67%
Primary driverPower Gap
A ATLAS READ
Giants are favored, and the model agrees.
Giants enter with the model lean at 67% heading into this matchup. Bears need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Giants deeper into the race. Bears need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Giants are favored
- RISKTurnovers - a -2.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
- EDGEGame script - Giants can tilt this if they keep Bears out of short fields.
Why Bears can win
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 21.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Giants.
02
Keys to the game
1Bears
Protect the football
Bears have the yardage profile, but a -1.00 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.
2Giants
Win the clean possessions
Giants are the model side at 67%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Bears can win the stat sheet; Giants can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Chicago Bears
Bears need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
C. Crawford
QB · Chicago Bears
158
PASS YDS
0TD
4INT
J. Huntington
HB · Chicago Bears
108
RUSH YDS
2TD
10ATT
R. Odunze
WR · Chicago Bears
70
REC YDS
0TD
4REC
New York Giants
Giants lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
J. Dart
QB · New York Giants
279
PASS YDS
2TD
3INT
B. Corum
HB · New York Giants
25
RUSH YDS
0TD
9ATT
M. Nabers
WR · New York Giants
87
REC YDS
1TD
2REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.