Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Indianapolis at Minnesota
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Chokolate
Colts
Indianapolis
1-0IND
ChokolateUpcoming
62%IND
38%MIN
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
32IND
-28MIN
Confidence62%
Primary driverPower Gap
Home
FirstTeamAll Pro
Vikings
Minnesota
0-1MIN
FirstTeamAll ProA ATLAS READ
Yardage favors Vikings. ATLAS favors Colts.
Vikings bring the sharper yardage profile at 410 YPG with a #5 offense. Colts still own the cleaner path: 62% by ATLAS despite playing away.
Why it mattersA win pulls Colts deeper into the race. Vikings need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Colts are favored
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 38.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +5.00 better turnover margin than Vikings.
Why Vikings can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #5 offense, 410 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- RISKTurnovers - a -1.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
02
Keys to the game
1Vikings
Protect the football
Vikings have the yardage profile, but a -1.00 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.
2Colts
Win the clean possessions
Colts are the model side at 62%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Vikings can win the stat sheet; Colts can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Indianapolis Colts
Colts need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
R. Agnew
QB · Indianapolis Colts
202
PASS YDS
1TD
0INT
J. Taylor
HB · Indianapolis Colts
178
RUSH YDS
3TD
24ATT
A. Pierce
WR · Indianapolis Colts
94
REC YDS
1TD
4REC
Minnesota Vikings
Vikings lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
C. Gillespie
QB · Minnesota Vikings
320
PASS YDS
1TD
3INT
D. Claiborne
HB · Minnesota Vikings
47
RUSH YDS
2TD
11ATT
J. Jefferson
WR · Minnesota Vikings
109
REC YDS
1TD
8REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.