Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming

Green Bay at Tennessee

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
80%GB
20%TEN

Pregame probability · excluding ties

ATLAS projected final
37GB
-
26TEN
Confidence80%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
Spread
Total
Money
🔒MISMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Packers are favored, and the model agrees.

Packers enter with the model lean at 80% heading into this matchup. Titans need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Packers deeper into the race. Titans need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Packers are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #1 offense, 505 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 49.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +6.00 better turnover margin than Titans.
Why Titans can win
  • RISKTurnovers - a -4.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEGame script - Titans can tilt this if they keep Packers out of short fields.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Titans

Protect the football

Titans have the yardage profile, but a -4.00 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.

2Packers

Win the clean possessions

Packers are the model side at 80%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Titans can win the stat sheet; Packers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Green Bay PackersSeason leaders

Packers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. Love
QB · Green Bay Packers
349
PASS YDS
3TD
1INT
J. Jacobs
HB · Green Bay Packers
117
RUSH YDS
3TD
14ATT
M. Golden
WR · Green Bay Packers
131
REC YDS
1TD
4REC
Tennessee TitansSeason leaders

Titans lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

C. Ward
QB · Tennessee Titans
195
PASS YDS
2TD
4INT
S. Meadows
HB · Tennessee Titans
129
RUSH YDS
2TD
16ATT
C. Tate
WR · Tennessee Titans
57
REC YDS
0TD
3REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Packers1-0 · last 1
WW1 vs Texans49-7
Titans0-1 · last 1
LW1 @ Colts27-38
05

Head to head

First meeting.