Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming

Denver at Las Vegas

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
85%DEN
15%LV

Pregame probability · excluding ties

ATLAS projected final
38DEN
-
24LV
Confidence85%
Primary driverPower Gap
Spread
Total
Money
🔒MISMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Yardage favors Raiders. ATLAS favors Broncos.

Raiders bring the sharper yardage profile at 339 YPG with a #20 offense. Broncos still own the cleaner path: 85% by ATLAS despite playing away.

Why it mattersA win pulls Broncos deeper into the race. Raiders need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Broncos are favored
  • RISKTurnovers - a -2.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #6 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Raiders can win
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 35.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +2.00 better turnover margin than Broncos.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #9 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Raiders

Finish scoring drives

Raiders need their 35.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Broncos

Win the clean possessions

Broncos are the model side at 85%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Raiders can win the stat sheet; Broncos can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Denver BroncosSeason leaders

Broncos need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

B. Nix
QB · Denver Broncos
280
PASS YDS
1TD
4INT
R. Harvey
HB · Denver Broncos
42
RUSH YDS
1TD
11ATT
T. Franklin
WR · Denver Broncos
93
REC YDS
1TD
4REC
Las Vegas RaidersSeason leaders

Raiders lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

F. Mendoza
QB · Las Vegas Raiders
189
PASS YDS
2TD
3INT
A. Jeanty
HB · Las Vegas Raiders
140
RUSH YDS
2TD
17ATT
B. Bowers
TE · Las Vegas Raiders
109
REC YDS
1TD
6REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Broncos0-1 · last 1
LW1 vs Seahawks17-30
Raiders1-0 · last 1
WW1 @ Dolphins35-26
05

Head to head

First meeting.