Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Baltimore at Philadelphia
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
75%BAL
25%PHI
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
35BAL
-26PHI
Confidence75%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
A ATLAS READ
Ravens are favored, and the model agrees.
Ravens enter with the model lean at 75% heading into this matchup. Eagles need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Ravens deeper into the race. Eagles need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Ravens are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #10 offense, 394 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- RISKTurnovers - a -1.00 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #10 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Eagles can win
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 34.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +2.00 better turnover margin than Ravens.
02
Keys to the game
1Eagles
Finish scoring drives
Eagles need their 34.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Ravens
Win the clean possessions
Ravens are the model side at 75%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Eagles can win the stat sheet; Ravens can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Baltimore Ravens
Ravens need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
L. Jackson
QB · Baltimore Ravens
217
PASS YDS
2TD
1INT
L. Jackson
QB · Baltimore Ravens
86
RUSH YDS
1TD
4ATT
C. Guerrero
TE · Baltimore Ravens
69
REC YDS
1TD
4REC
Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
M. Vick II
QB · Philadelphia Eagles
321
PASS YDS
3TD
1INT
S. Barkley
HB · Philadelphia Eagles
44
RUSH YDS
1TD
14ATT
J. Buchanan
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
159
REC YDS
2TD
14REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.