Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Jacksonville at Los Angeles
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
65%JAX
35%LAC
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
35JAX
-30LAC
Confidence65%
Primary driverPower Gap
Home
Mike Booty
Chargers
Los Angeles
1-0LAC
Mike BootyA ATLAS READ
Yardage favors Chargers. ATLAS favors Jaguars.
Chargers bring the sharper yardage profile at 473 YPG with a #2 offense. Jaguars still own the cleaner path: 65% by ATLAS despite playing away.
Why it mattersA win pulls Jaguars deeper into the race. Chargers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Jaguars are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 416 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Chargers.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #5 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Chargers can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #2 offense, 473 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 38.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02
Keys to the game
1Chargers
Finish scoring drives
Chargers need their 38.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Jaguars
Win the clean possessions
Jaguars are the model side at 65%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Chargers can win the stat sheet; Jaguars can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
T. Lawrence
QB · Jacksonville Jaguars
292
PASS YDS
3TD
2INT
B. Tuten
HB · Jacksonville Jaguars
66
RUSH YDS
0TD
13ATT
B. Strange
TE · Jacksonville Jaguars
132
REC YDS
1TD
9REC
Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
J. Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
291
PASS YDS
1TD
0INT
Z. Bowers
HB · Los Angeles Chargers
97
RUSH YDS
0TD
17ATT
B. Thompson
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
140
REC YDS
0TD
10REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.