Game Center · S99 · W2 · Upcoming
Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
62%TB
38%CLE
Pregame probability · excluding ties
ATLAS projected final
34TB
-30CLE
Confidence62%
Primary driverPower Gap
A ATLAS READ
Yardage favors Browns. ATLAS favors Buccaneers.
Browns bring the sharper yardage profile at 401 YPG with a #9 offense. Buccaneers still own the cleaner path: 62% by ATLAS despite playing away.
Why it mattersA win pulls Buccaneers deeper into the race. Browns need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Buccaneers are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #12 offense, 395 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEGame script - Buccaneers can tilt this if they keep Browns out of short fields.
Why Browns can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #9 offense, 401 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 35.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Buccaneers.
02
Keys to the game
1Browns
Finish scoring drives
Browns need their 35.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Buccaneers
Win the clean possessions
Buccaneers are the model side at 62%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Browns can win the stat sheet; Buccaneers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buccaneers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
B. Mayfield
QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
328
PASS YDS
2TD
0INT
K. Lacy
HB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
68
RUSH YDS
2TD
18ATT
K. Lacy
HB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
91
REC YDS
0TD
5REC
Cleveland Browns
Browns lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
T. Green
QB · Cleveland Browns
309
PASS YDS
3TD
1INT
D. Sampson
HB · Cleveland Browns
56
RUSH YDS
1TD
15ATT
D. Sampson
HB · Cleveland Browns
108
REC YDS
1TD
3REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
First meeting.