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Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming

Philadelphia at Dallas

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Eagles
Philadelphia
3-7PHI
Will_Chamberlain
Upcoming
33%PHI
67%DAL
ATLAS projected final
28PHI
-
34DAL
Confidence67%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
H2H12-1 Find_the_Door
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Cowboys
Dallas
7-4DAL
Find_the_Door
🆚REMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Cowboys are favored, and the model agrees.

Cowboys enter with the model lean at 67% and enough statistical support to back the record. Eagles need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Cowboys deeper into the race. Eagles need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Cowboys are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #8 offense, 332 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 2 meetings in this series.
Why Eagles can win
  • RISKTurnovers - a -0.90 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEGame script - Eagles can tilt this if they keep Cowboys out of short fields.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Eagles

Protect the football

Eagles have the yardage profile, but a -0.90 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.

2Cowboys

Control the repeat script

Cowboys have taken the last 2 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Eagles can win the stat sheet; Cowboys can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Philadelphia EaglesSeason leaders

Eagles need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

D. Simmons
QB · Philadelphia Eagles
949
PASS YDS
5TD
12INT
O. Ruiz
HB · Philadelphia Eagles
470
RUSH YDS
2TD
100ATT
S. Aguirre
WR · Philadelphia Eagles
551
REC YDS
6TD
44REC
Dallas CowboysSeason leaders

Cowboys lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Whiteside
QB · Dallas Cowboys
1,571
PASS YDS
14TD
0INT
J. Blue
HB · Dallas Cowboys
828
RUSH YDS
8TD
169ATT
J. Keyes
WR · Dallas Cowboys
605
REC YDS
3TD
45REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Eagles3-2 · last 5
WW10@ Rams31-16
WW9vs Buccaneers31-26
WW8@ Commanders24-23
LW7@ Lions20-23
LW5@ Packers24-27
Cowboys4-1 · last 5
WW10vs Bills24-17
WW9vs Jets31-17
WW8@ Lions28-22
LW7@ Cardinals7-22
WW6vs Broncos24-14
05

Head to head

Recent finals
DAL 4-1 PHIRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S7 · W1Cowboys at EaglesDAL34-6
S6 · W6Eagles at CowboysDAL45-17
S6 · W2Cowboys at EaglesPHI44-29
S5 · W13Cowboys at EaglesDAL38-14
S5 · W11Eagles at CowboysDAL38-7