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Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming

Seattle at Tampa Bay

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Seahawks
Seattle
3-7SEA
nickpapura23
Upcoming
41%SEA
59%TB
ATLAS projected final
28SEA
-
30TB
Confidence59%
Primary driverHome Field
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
3-7TB
Signman Discord avatarSignman
A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Seahawks. The record says Buccaneers.

Seahawks bring the sharper yardage profile at 347 YPG with a #16 offense. Buccaneers still own the cleaner path: 59% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Buccaneers deeper into the race. Seahawks need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Buccaneers are favored
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #5 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
  • EDGEGame script - Buccaneers can tilt this if they keep Seahawks out of short fields.
Why Seahawks can win
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 24.1 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.10 better turnover margin than Buccaneers.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Seahawks

Finish scoring drives

Seahawks need their 24.1 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Buccaneers

Win the clean possessions

Buccaneers are the model side at 59%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Seahawks can win the stat sheet; Buccaneers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Seattle SeahawksSeason leaders

Seahawks need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. Milroe
QB · Seattle Seahawks
3,066
PASS YDS
24TD
14INT
J. Brooks
HB · Seattle Seahawks
215
RUSH YDS
4TD
68ATT
J. Williams
WR · Seattle Seahawks
924
REC YDS
11TD
74REC
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSeason leaders

Buccaneers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Taggart
QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2,240
PASS YDS
21TD
9INT
B. Richardson
HB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
469
RUSH YDS
0TD
142ATT
T. Palmer
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
828
REC YDS
9TD
51REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Seahawks1-4 · last 5
LW10@ Ravens24-31
LW9vs Commanders20-28
LW8@ Falcons27-56
LW7@ Rams24-45
WW6@ 49ers29-28
Buccaneers1-4 · last 5
LW10vs Titans14-23
LW9@ Eagles26-31
LW8@ Texans14-17
LW7@ Saints24-31
WW5vs Colts17-9
05

Head to head

Recent finals
TB 1-2 SEARecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S4 · W3Seahawks at BuccaneersSEA27-14
S3 · W15Buccaneers at SeahawksTB44-41
S1 · W4Buccaneers at SeahawksSEA24-23