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Game Center · S1 · W12 · Upcoming

New York at Miami

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 1 . Week 12
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Jets
New York
2-2NYJ
Shottaz (Jets) Discord avatarShottaz (Jets)
Upcoming

Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.

Home
Dolphins
Miami
3-1MIA
Johnson (Dolphins) Discord avatarJohnson (Dolphins)
📊COIN FLIP
A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Jets. The record says Dolphins.

Jets bring the sharper yardage profile at 485 YPG with a #2 offense. Dolphins still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Dolphins deeper into the race. Jets need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Dolphins are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #9 offense, 400 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Jets.
Why Jets can win
  • EDGEYardage profile - #2 offense, 485 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 44.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Jets

Finish scoring drives

Jets need their 44.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Dolphins

Win the clean possessions

Dolphins are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Jets can win the stat sheet; Dolphins can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
New York JetsSeason leaders

Jets need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Klubnik
QB · New York Jets
1,000
PASS YDS
13TD
10INT
B. Hall
HB · New York Jets
789
RUSH YDS
9TD
69ATT
G. Wilson
WR · New York Jets
386
REC YDS
5TD
16REC
Miami DolphinsSeason leaders

Dolphins lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

M. Willis
QB · Miami Dolphins
841
PASS YDS
9TD
1INT
D. Achane
HB · Miami Dolphins
601
RUSH YDS
5TD
73ATT
C. Douglas
WR · Miami Dolphins
211
REC YDS
2TD
12REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Jets2-2 · last 4
WW4@ Bears56-28
LW3@ Lions59-73
LW2vs Packers28-31
WW1@ Titans35-6
Dolphins3-1 · last 4
WW4@ Vikings31-25
LW3vs Chiefs27-31
WW2@ 49ers49-31
WW1@ Raiders20-13
05

Head to head

Recent finals
MIA 1-4 NYJRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W11Jets at DolphinsNYJ16-14
S6 · W2Dolphins at JetsMIA28-13
S5 · W18Jets at DolphinsNYJ33-27
S5 · W14Dolphins at JetsNYJ41-17
S4 · W4Jets at DolphinsNYJ49-30