Game Center · S7 · W17 · Upcoming
Arizona at Cincinnati
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 17
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Lions
Arizona
6-2ARI
TOwnerTheWittUpcoming
58%ARI
42%CIN
ATLAS projected final
33ARI
-28CIN
Confidence58%
Primary driverL ball security
Home
Giants
Cincinnati
5-3CIN
COwnerCPUA ATLAS READ
Lions are favored, and the model agrees.
Lions enter with the model lean at 58% and enough statistical support to back the record. Giants need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Lions deeper into the race. Giants need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Giants are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #10 offense, 342 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #7 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Lions can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #3 offense, 362 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 27.8 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Giants.
02
Keys to the game
1Giants
Finish scoring drives
Giants need their 22.1 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Lions
Win the clean possessions
Lions are the model side at 58%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Giants can win the stat sheet; Lions can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Arizona Cardinals
Lions need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
MF
M. Faupula
QB · Detroit Lions
1,775
PASS YDS
16TD
3INT
JG
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
519
RUSH YDS
3TD
62ATT
AS
A. St. Brown
WR · Detroit Lions
507
REC YDS
3TD
40REC
Cincinnati Bengals
Giants lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
JD
J. Dart
QB · New York Giants
1,941
PASS YDS
13TD
3INT
AS
A. Slaughter
HB · New York Giants
532
RUSH YDS
3TD
121ATT
GW
G. Wilson
WR · New York Giants
563
REC YDS
3TD
41REC
04
Recent form
Lions4-1 · last 5
WW7vs Eagles23-20
WW6@ Packers22-16
WW5vs Vikings34-13
LW4@ Bears22-29
WW3vs Seahawks38-20
Giants3-2 · last 5
LW7@ Jets17-23
WW6vs Chiefs28-21
WW5vs Cowboys24-20
WW4vs Packers20-14
LW3@ Cowboys20-28
05
Head to head
CIN 2-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S4 · W0Lions at GiantsCIN21-7
S3 · W1Giants at LionsARI36-31
S1 · W11Giants at LionsCIN20-17