Game Center · S7 · W17 · Upcoming

Buffalo at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 17

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Broncos

Buffalo

4-4BUF

DOwnerDon

Upcoming

43%BUF

57%ARI

ATLAS projected final

30BUF

26ARI

Confidence57%

Primary driverR home field + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Ravens

Arizona

3-5ARI

AOwnerA1_Shaun

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Broncos. The record says Ravens.

Broncos bring the sharper yardage profile at 373 YPG with a #2 offense. Ravens still own the cleaner path: 57% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Ravens deeper into the race. Broncos need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Ravens are favored

EDGEGame script - Ravens can tilt this if they keep Broncos out of short fields.

Why Broncos can win

EDGEYardage profile - #2 offense, 373 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #9 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Broncos

Finish scoring drives

Broncos need their 25.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Ravens

Win the clean possessions

Ravens are the model side at 57%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Broncos can win the stat sheet; Ravens can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Buffalo BillsSeason leaders

Broncos need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

B. Nix

QB · Denver Broncos

2,081

PASS YDS

18TD

5INT

R. Harvey

HB · Denver Broncos

640

RUSH YDS

2TD

129ATT

C. Fitzsimmons

WR · Denver Broncos

586

REC YDS

9TD

43REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Ravens lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Barnett

QB · Baltimore Ravens

1,812

PASS YDS

14TD

2INT

E. Spellman

HB · Baltimore Ravens

459

RUSH YDS

2TD

117ATT

J. Jefferson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

475

REC YDS

8TD

30REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Broncos2-3 · last 5

LW7vs Chargers31-34

LW6@ Cowboys14-24

WW5@ Chargers35-28

LW4vs Chiefs13-23

WW3vs Packers17-16

Ravens2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Colts24-30

LW6@ Bengals10-22

LW5vs Browns8-31

WW4@ Vikings38-21

WW3vs Steelers24-21

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 2-1 BUFRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.

S6 · W5Broncos at RavensBUF48-16

S3 · W0Ravens at BroncosARI39-25

S2 · W15Broncos at RavensARI44-39