Game Center · S7 · W17 · Upcoming
Atlanta at Arizona
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 17
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Falcons
Atlanta
5-3ATL
NOwnerNeffAroundUpcoming
54%ATL
46%ARI
ATLAS projected final
33ATL
-29ARI
Confidence54%
Primary driverF home field
Home
Cardinals
Arizona
4-4ARI
COwnerCPUA ATLAS READ
The numbers say Cardinals. The record says Falcons.
Cardinals bring the sharper yardage profile at 346 YPG with a #7 offense. Falcons still own the cleaner path: 54% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Falcons deeper into the race. Cardinals need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Cardinals are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #7 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +0.38 better turnover margin than Falcons.
Why Falcons can win
- EDGEGame script - Falcons can tilt this if they keep Cardinals out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
1Cardinals
Finish scoring drives
Cardinals need their 25.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Falcons
Win the clean possessions
Falcons are the model side at 54%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Cardinals can win the stat sheet; Falcons can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Atlanta Falcons
Falcons need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
TC
T. Choice
QB · Atlanta Falcons
1,735
PASS YDS
22TD
2INT
BR
B. Robinson
HB · Atlanta Falcons
413
RUSH YDS
0TD
69ATT
EB
E. Barron
WR · Atlanta Falcons
441
REC YDS
3TD
35REC
Arizona Cardinals
Cardinals lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
AS
A. Simmons
QB · Arizona Cardinals
1,249
PASS YDS
9TD
1INT
TB
T. Benson
HB · Arizona Cardinals
196
RUSH YDS
2TD
51ATT
DR
D. Ross
WR · Arizona Cardinals
686
REC YDS
6TD
43REC
04
Recent form
Falcons2-3 · last 5
LW7@ Texans21-27
LW6vs Titans7-42
LW5vs Saints10-41
WW4vs Buccaneers21-16
WW3@ Saints42-21
Cardinals2-3 · last 5
WW7vs Cowboys22-7
LW6vs Colts26-29
WW5vs Steelers17-14
LW4vs Rams32-35
LW3@ Vikings17-30
05
Head to head
ARI 2-3 ATLRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W20Falcons at CardinalsARI55-17
S6 · W15Cardinals at FalconsATL35-21
S4 · W18Cardinals at FalconsATL34-26
S4 · W0Cardinals at FalconsATL42-38
S1 · W18Cardinals at FalconsARI26-23