Game Center · S7 · W15 · Upcoming

Buffalo at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 15

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Bengals

Buffalo

7-0BUF

JOwnerJT

Upcoming

61%BUF

39%ARI

ATLAS projected final

25BUF

18ARI

Confidence61%

Primary driverB ball security

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Seahawks

Arizona

3-4ARI

NOwnernickpapura23

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

Bengals are favored, and the model agrees.

Bengals enter with the model lean at 61% and enough statistical support to back the record. Seahawks need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Bengals deeper into the race. Seahawks need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Seahawks are favored

EDGEGame script - Seahawks can tilt this if they keep Bengals out of short fields.

Why Bengals can win

EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.6 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Seahawks.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #3 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Seahawks

Finish scoring drives

Seahawks need their 24.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Bengals

Control the repeat script

Bengals have taken the last 2 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Seahawks can win the stat sheet; Bengals can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Buffalo BillsSeason leaders

Bengals need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

1,577

PASS YDS

13TD

4INT

T. Dobbins

HB · Cincinnati Bengals

496

RUSH YDS

6TD

107ATT

J. Chase

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

448

REC YDS

7TD

29REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Seahawks lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Milroe

QB · Seattle Seahawks

2,121

PASS YDS

18TD

10INT

J. Brooks

HB · Seattle Seahawks

139

RUSH YDS

2TD

48ATT

J. Williams

WR · Seattle Seahawks

609

REC YDS

9TD

46REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Bengals5-0 · last 5

WW6vs Ravens22-10

WW5vs Jets17-12

WW4vs Steelers34-28

WW3vs Browns31-28

WW2vs Chargers24-21

Seahawks2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Rams24-45

WW6@ 49ers29-28

LW4vs Browns13-34

LW3@ Lions20-38

WW2vs Panthers30-24

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 0-2 BUFRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.

S5 · W15Bengals at SeahawksBUF28-24

S3 · W12Seahawks at BengalsBUF34-24