Game Center · S7 · W15 · Upcoming

Atlanta at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 15

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Falcons

Atlanta

5-3ATL

NOwnerNeffAround

Upcoming

43%ATL

57%ARI

ATLAS projected final

33ATL

31ARI

Confidence57%

Primary driverC home field + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Cowboys

Arizona

4-4ARI

FOwnerFind_the_Door

A ATLAS READ

Cowboys are favored, and the model agrees.

Falcons bring the sharper yardage profile at 305 YPG with a #14 offense. Cowboys still own the cleaner path: 57% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Cowboys deeper into the race. Falcons need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Cowboys are favored

EDGEGame script - Cowboys can tilt this if they keep Falcons out of short fields.

Why Falcons can win

EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEGame script - Falcons can tilt this if they keep Cowboys out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Falcons

Finish scoring drives

Falcons need their 25.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Cowboys

Win the clean possessions

Cowboys are the model side at 57%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Falcons can win the stat sheet; Cowboys can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Atlanta FalconsSeason leaders

Falcons need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

T. Choice

QB · Atlanta Falcons

1,735

PASS YDS

22TD

2INT

B. Robinson

HB · Atlanta Falcons

413

RUSH YDS

0TD

69ATT

E. Barron

WR · Atlanta Falcons

441

REC YDS

3TD

35REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Cowboys lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Whiteside

QB · Dallas Cowboys

1,571

PASS YDS

14TD

0INT

J. Blue

HB · Dallas Cowboys

600

RUSH YDS

4TD

125ATT

J. Keyes

WR · Dallas Cowboys

478

REC YDS

2TD

35REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Falcons2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Texans21-27

LW6vs Titans7-42

LW5vs Saints10-41

WW4vs Buccaneers21-16

WW3@ Saints42-21

Cowboys3-2 · last 5

LW7@ Cardinals7-22

WW6vs Broncos24-14

LW5@ Giants20-24

WW4@ Commanders41-35

WW3vs Giants28-20

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 1-1 ATLRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.

S6 · W1Cowboys at FalconsATL48-21

S3 · W16Cowboys at FalconsARI31-23