Game Center · S7 · W16 · Upcoming
Arizona at Carolina
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 16
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Chargers
Arizona
3-5ARI
GOwnerGioUpcoming
43%ARI
57%CAR
ATLAS projected final
31ARI
-28CAR
Confidence57%
Primary driverP ball security + home field
Home
Packers
Carolina
3-5CAR
BOwnerBdiddy86A ATLAS READ
The numbers say Chargers. The record says Packers.
Chargers bring the sharper yardage profile at 346 YPG with a #6 offense. Packers still own the cleaner path: 57% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Packers deeper into the race. Chargers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Packers are favored
- EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Chargers.
- EDGEGame script - Packers can tilt this if they keep Chargers out of short fields.
Why Chargers can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02
Keys to the game
1Chargers
Finish scoring drives
Chargers need their 28.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Packers
Win the clean possessions
Packers are the model side at 57%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Chargers can win the stat sheet; Packers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Arizona Cardinals
Chargers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
JH
J. Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
1,964
PASS YDS
19TD
5INT
OH
O. Hampton
HB · Los Angeles Chargers
387
RUSH YDS
5TD
68ATT
LM
L. McConkey
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
676
REC YDS
7TD
47REC
Carolina Panthers
Packers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
DM
D. Meander
QB · Green Bay Packers
1,764
PASS YDS
12TD
1INT
BC
B. Cooks
HB · Green Bay Packers
534
RUSH YDS
4TD
136ATT
MG
M. Golden
WR · Green Bay Packers
592
REC YDS
2TD
48REC
04
Recent form
Chargers2-3 · last 5
WW7@ Broncos34-31
LW6vs Raiders24-27
LW5vs Broncos28-35
WW4vs Jaguars30-17
LW3@ Titans25-28
Packers1-4 · last 5
LW7vs 49ers17-23
LW6vs Lions16-22
WW5vs Eagles27-24
LW4@ Giants14-20
LW3@ Broncos16-17
05
Head to head
CAR 0-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 1 meetings.
S3 · W6Packers at ChargersARI24-21