Game Center · S7 · W12 · Upcoming

Carolina at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 12

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Patriots

Carolina

5-3CAR

SOwnerShottaz

Upcoming

50%CAR

50%ARI

ATLAS projected final

36CAR

31ARI

Confidence50%

Primary driverR ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Ravens

Arizona

3-5ARI

AOwnerA1_Shaun

📊COIN FLIP

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Patriots. The record says Ravens.

Patriots bring the sharper yardage profile at 406 YPG with a #1 offense. Ravens still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Ravens deeper into the race. Patriots need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Ravens are favored

EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 2 meetings in this series.
EDGEBall security - a +0.25 better turnover margin than Patriots.

Why Patriots can win

EDGEYardage profile - #1 offense, 406 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 32.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Patriots

Finish scoring drives

Patriots need their 32.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Ravens

Control the repeat script

Ravens have taken the last 2 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Patriots can win the stat sheet; Ravens can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Carolina PanthersSeason leaders

Patriots need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

D. Maye

QB · New England Patriots

2,862

PASS YDS

28TD

4INT

K. Walker III

HB · New England Patriots

143

RUSH YDS

3TD

33ATT

E. Peralta

WR · New England Patriots

847

REC YDS

13TD

62REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Ravens lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Barnett

QB · Baltimore Ravens

1,812

PASS YDS

14TD

2INT

E. Spellman

HB · Baltimore Ravens

459

RUSH YDS

2TD

117ATT

J. Jefferson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

475

REC YDS

8TD

30REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Patriots3-2 · last 5

WW7@ Bills44-22

WW6@ Steelers41-28

LW5vs Jaguars16-28

LW4@ Dolphins36-39

WW3@ Jets41-31

Ravens2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Colts24-30

LW6@ Bengals10-22

LW5vs Browns8-31

WW4@ Vikings38-21

WW3vs Steelers24-21

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 2-2 CARRecent finals across the latest 4 meetings.

S5 · W19Ravens at PatriotsARI50-36

S5 · W9Patriots at RavensARI40-28

S4 · W7Ravens at PatriotsCAR20-17

S1 · W15Patriots at RavensCAR34-10