Game Center · S7 · W16 · Upcoming

San Francisco at Atlanta

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 16

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

49ers

San Francisco

2-6SF

DOwnerDrake

Upcoming

26%SF

74%ATL

ATLAS projected final

24SF

28ATL

Confidence74%

Primary driverF ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Falcons

Atlanta

5-3ATL

NOwnerNeffAround

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say 49ers. The record says Falcons.

49ers bring the sharper yardage profile at 343 YPG with a #9 offense. Falcons still own the cleaner path: 74% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Falcons deeper into the race. 49ers need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Falcons are favored

EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 3 meetings in this series.
EDGEBall security - a +0.75 better turnover margin than 49ers.

Why 49ers can win

EDGEYardage profile - #9 offense, 343 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEGame script - 49ers can tilt this if they keep Falcons out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

149ers

Finish scoring drives

49ers need their 20.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Falcons

Control the repeat script

Falcons have taken the last 3 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

49ers can win the stat sheet; Falcons can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

San Francisco 49ersSeason leaders

49ers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

Z. Bradford

QB · San Francisco 49ers

1,846

PASS YDS

11TD

10INT

S. Felix

HB · San Francisco 49ers

703

RUSH YDS

5TD

145ATT

J. Jackson

WR · San Francisco 49ers

477

REC YDS

2TD

40REC

Atlanta FalconsSeason leaders

Falcons lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

T. Choice

QB · Atlanta Falcons

1,735

PASS YDS

22TD

2INT

B. Robinson

HB · Atlanta Falcons

413

RUSH YDS

0TD

69ATT

E. Barron

WR · Atlanta Falcons

441

REC YDS

3TD

35REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

49ers2-3 · last 5

WW7@ Packers23-17

LW6vs Seahawks28-29

WW5vs Texans24-21

LW4vs Panthers22-28

LW3@ Rams16-20

Falcons2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Texans21-27

LW6vs Titans7-42

LW5vs Saints10-41

WW4vs Buccaneers21-16

WW3@ Saints42-21

Head to head

Recent finals

ATL 3-0 SFRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.

S4 · W4Falcons at 49ersATL24-21

S3 · W4Falcons at 49ersATL48-24

S1 · W6Falcons at 49ersATL47-37