Game Center · S7 · W15 · Upcoming

Carolina at Jacksonville

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 15

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Titans

Carolina

6-1CAR

COwnerCPU

Upcoming

44%CAR

56%JAX

ATLAS projected final

24CAR

21JAX

Confidence56%

Primary driverJ home field + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Jaguars

Jacksonville

4-3JAX

MOwnerMellow

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Titans. The record says Jaguars.

Titans bring the sharper yardage profile at 347 YPG with a #21 offense. Jaguars still own the cleaner path: 56% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Jaguars deeper into the race. Titans need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Jaguars are favored

EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 5 meetings in this series.
EDGEGame script - Jaguars can tilt this if they keep Titans out of short fields.

Why Titans can win

EDGEScoreboard output - a 26.9 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +2.00 better turnover margin than Jaguars.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #1 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Titans

Finish scoring drives

Titans need their 26.9 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Jaguars

Control the repeat script

Jaguars have taken the last 5 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Titans can win the stat sheet; Jaguars can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Carolina PanthersSeason leaders

Titans need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Ward

QB · Tennessee Titans

1,472

PASS YDS

11TD

1INT

T. Hollis

HB · Tennessee Titans

427

RUSH YDS

6TD

93ATT

J. Durham

WR · Tennessee Titans

388

REC YDS

3TD

26REC

Jacksonville JaguarsSeason leaders

Jaguars lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

M. Cartwright III

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

1,618

PASS YDS

12TD

3INT

D. Achane

HB · Jacksonville Jaguars

422

RUSH YDS

5TD

104ATT

B. Thomas Jr

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

496

REC YDS

5TD

34REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Titans4-1 · last 5

WW6@ Falcons42-7

WW5@ Raiders27-21

WW4vs Saints28-24

WW3vs Chargers28-25

LW2vs Jaguars24-31

Jaguars3-2 · last 5

WW7@ Panthers38-21

WW5@ Patriots28-16

LW4@ Chargers17-30

LW3vs Raiders10-35

WW2@ Titans31-24

Head to head

Recent finals

JAX 5-0 CARRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.

S7 · W2Jaguars at TitansJAX31-24

S6 · W10Jaguars at TitansJAX38-19

S6 · W6Titans at JaguarsJAX43-27

S5 · W14Titans at JaguarsJAX42-6

S5 · W1Jaguars at TitansJAX23-13