Game Center · S7 · W12 · Upcoming

Arizona at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 12

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Lions

Arizona

6-2ARI

TOwnerTheWitt

Upcoming

54%ARI

46%ARI

ATLAS projected final

33ARI

29ARI

Confidence54%

Primary driverL ball security

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Raiders

Arizona

3-5ARI

SOwnerSheldon Scott

📊COIN FLIP

A ATLAS READ

Lions are favored, and the model agrees.

Lions enter with the model lean at 54% and enough statistical support to back the record. Raiders need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Lions deeper into the race. Raiders need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Raiders are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #5 offense, 347 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #11 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Why Lions can win

EDGEYardage profile - #3 offense, 362 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 27.8 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +0.12 better turnover margin than Raiders.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Raiders

Finish scoring drives

Raiders need their 24.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Lions

Win the clean possessions

Lions are the model side at 54%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Raiders can win the stat sheet; Lions can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Lions need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

M. Faupula

QB · Detroit Lions

1,775

PASS YDS

16TD

3INT

J. Gibbs

HB · Detroit Lions

519

RUSH YDS

3TD

62ATT

A. St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

507

REC YDS

3TD

40REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Raiders lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Bolton

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

1,826

PASS YDS

13TD

3INT

A. Jeanty

HB · Las Vegas Raiders

768

RUSH YDS

6TD

124ATT

D. Thornton Jr.

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

628

REC YDS

3TD

50REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Lions4-1 · last 5

WW7vs Eagles23-20

WW6@ Packers22-16

WW5vs Vikings34-13

LW4@ Bears22-29

WW3vs Seahawks38-20

Raiders2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Chiefs13-24

WW6@ Chargers27-24

LW5vs Titans21-27

LW4vs Bills14-24

WW3@ Jaguars35-10

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 0-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 1 meetings.

S3 · W0Lions at RaidersARI41-38