Game Center · S7 · W13 · Upcoming

Baltimore at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 13

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Vikings

Baltimore

4-4BAL

BOwnerB3AST_M0DE_NC

Upcoming

39%BAL

61%ARI

ATLAS projected final

27BAL

29ARI

Confidence61%

Primary driverC offense + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Chargers

Arizona

3-5ARI

GOwnerGio

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

Chargers are favored, and the model agrees.

Chargers enter with the model lean at 61% and enough statistical support to back the record. Vikings need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Chargers deeper into the race. Vikings need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Chargers are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 2 meetings in this series.

Why Vikings can win

EDGEBall security - a +0.87 better turnover margin than Chargers.
EDGEGame script - Vikings can tilt this if they keep Chargers out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Vikings

Finish scoring drives

Vikings need their 21.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Chargers

Control the repeat script

Chargers have taken the last 2 in the series; the model likes the same steady path.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Vikings can win the stat sheet; Chargers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Baltimore RavensSeason leaders

Vikings need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. McCarthy

QB · Minnesota Vikings

1,886

PASS YDS

14TD

3INT

M. Preston

HB · Minnesota Vikings

354

RUSH YDS

3TD

77ATT

J. Addison

WR · Minnesota Vikings

653

REC YDS

8TD

43REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Chargers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

1,964

PASS YDS

19TD

5INT

O. Hampton

HB · Los Angeles Chargers

387

RUSH YDS

5TD

68ATT

L. McConkey

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

676

REC YDS

7TD

47REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Vikings2-3 · last 5

LW7vs Commanders21-28

WW6vs Bears17-10

LW5@ Lions13-34

LW4vs Ravens21-38

WW3vs Cardinals30-17

Chargers2-3 · last 5

WW7@ Broncos34-31

LW6vs Raiders24-27

LW5vs Broncos28-35

WW4vs Jaguars30-17

LW3@ Titans25-28

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 2-0 BALRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.

S3 · W15Vikings at ChargersARI42-34

S1 · W7Vikings at ChargersARI35-14