Game Center · S7 · W12 · Upcoming

Atlanta at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 12

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Falcons

Atlanta

5-3ATL

NOwnerNeffAround

Upcoming

41%ATL

59%ARI

ATLAS projected final

32ATL

33ARI

Confidence59%

Primary driverR ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Rams

Arizona

6-2ARI

COwnercfar89

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

Rams are favored, and the model agrees.

Rams enter with the model lean at 59% and enough statistical support to back the record. Falcons need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Rams deeper into the race. Falcons need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Rams are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #4 offense, 362 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.4 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Falcons.

Why Falcons can win

EDGEGame script - Falcons can tilt this if they keep Rams out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Falcons

Finish scoring drives

Falcons need their 25.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Rams

Win the clean possessions

Rams are the model side at 59%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Falcons can win the stat sheet; Rams can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Atlanta FalconsSeason leaders

Falcons need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

T. Choice

QB · Atlanta Falcons

1,735

PASS YDS

22TD

2INT

B. Robinson

HB · Atlanta Falcons

413

RUSH YDS

0TD

69ATT

E. Barron

WR · Atlanta Falcons

441

REC YDS

3TD

35REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Rams lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

Q. Fleming

QB · Los Angeles Rams

2,334

PASS YDS

18TD

4INT

M. Ferrell

HB · Los Angeles Rams

231

RUSH YDS

4TD

66ATT

P. Nacua

WR · Los Angeles Rams

789

REC YDS

4TD

63REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Falcons2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Texans21-27

LW6vs Titans7-42

LW5vs Saints10-41

WW4vs Buccaneers21-16

WW3@ Saints42-21

Rams5-0 · last 5

WW7vs Seahawks45-24

WW6@ Browns29-7

WW5@ Panthers40-0

WW4@ Cardinals35-32

WW3vs 49ers20-16

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 0-2 ATLRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.

S4 · W13Rams at FalconsATL55-24

S1 · W16Rams at FalconsATL41-21