Game Center · S7 · W15 · Upcoming
Arizona at Arizona
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 7 . Week 15
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Chargers
Arizona
3-5ARI
GOwnerGioUpcoming
44%ARI
56%ARI
ATLAS projected final
29ARI
-27ARI
Confidence56%
Primary driverC defense + home field
Home
Colts
Arizona
3-5ARI
BOwnerBennyA ATLAS READ
The numbers say Chargers. The record says Colts.
Chargers bring the sharper yardage profile at 346 YPG with a #6 offense. Colts still own the cleaner path: 56% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Colts deeper into the race. Chargers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Colts are favored
- EDGEGame script - Colts can tilt this if they keep Chargers out of short fields.
Why Chargers can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +0.50 better turnover margin than Colts.
02
Keys to the game
1Chargers
Finish scoring drives
Chargers need their 28.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Colts
Win the clean possessions
Colts are the model side at 56%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Chargers can win the stat sheet; Colts can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Arizona Cardinals
Chargers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
JH
J. Herbert
QB · Los Angeles Chargers
1,964
PASS YDS
19TD
5INT
OH
O. Hampton
HB · Los Angeles Chargers
387
RUSH YDS
5TD
68ATT
LM
L. McConkey
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
676
REC YDS
7TD
47REC
Arizona Cardinals
Colts lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
AR
A. Richardson Sr
QB · Indianapolis Colts
1,806
PASS YDS
13TD
2INT
DP
D. Patton
HB · Indianapolis Colts
510
RUSH YDS
4TD
118ATT
SB
S. Burgess
WR · Indianapolis Colts
593
REC YDS
5TD
33REC
04
Recent form
Chargers2-3 · last 5
WW7@ Broncos34-31
LW6vs Raiders24-27
LW5vs Broncos28-35
WW4vs Jaguars30-17
LW3@ Titans25-28
Colts3-2 · last 5
WW7vs Ravens30-24
WW6@ Cardinals29-26
LW5@ Buccaneers9-17
LW4@ Texans17-29
WW3vs Panthers32-3
05
Head to head
ARI 0-3 ARIRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S5 · W6Chargers at ColtsARI35-23
S4 · W2Colts at ChargersARI30-23
S1 · W6Colts at ChargersARI27-10