Game Center · S7 · W16 · Upcoming

Arizona at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 16

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Ravens

Arizona

3-5ARI

AOwnerA1_Shaun

Upcoming

37%ARI

63%ARI

ATLAS projected final

32ARI

34ARI

Confidence63%

Primary driverS offense + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Steelers

Arizona

4-4ARI

COwnerCPU

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

Steelers are favored, and the model agrees.

Steelers enter with the model lean at 63% and enough statistical support to back the record. Ravens need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Steelers deeper into the race. Ravens need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Steelers are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #8 offense, 343 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 25.9 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.

Why Ravens can win

EDGEBall security - a +0.25 better turnover margin than Steelers.
EDGEGame script - Ravens can tilt this if they keep Steelers out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Ravens

Finish scoring drives

Ravens need their 20.6 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Steelers

Win the clean possessions

Steelers are the model side at 63%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Ravens can win the stat sheet; Steelers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Ravens need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Barnett

QB · Baltimore Ravens

1,812

PASS YDS

14TD

2INT

E. Spellman

HB · Baltimore Ravens

459

RUSH YDS

2TD

117ATT

J. Jefferson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

475

REC YDS

8TD

30REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Steelers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

M. Richards

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

1,625

PASS YDS

15TD

3INT

B. Irving

HB · Pittsburgh Steelers

788

RUSH YDS

7TD

139ATT

P. Freiermuth

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

486

REC YDS

6TD

48REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Ravens2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Colts24-30

LW6@ Bengals10-22

LW5vs Browns8-31

WW4@ Vikings38-21

WW3vs Steelers24-21

Steelers1-4 · last 5

WW7@ Bears36-30

LW6vs Patriots28-41

LW5@ Cardinals14-17

LW4@ Bengals28-34

LW3@ Ravens21-24

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 0-5 ARIRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.

S7 · W3Steelers at RavensARI24-21

S6 · W17Steelers at RavensARI31-24

S6 · W0Ravens at SteelersARI38-21

S5 · W13Ravens at SteelersARI30-24

S5 · W6Steelers at RavensARI42-35