Game Center · S7 · W14 · Upcoming

Arizona at Jacksonville

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 14

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Ravens

Arizona

3-5ARI

AOwnerA1_Shaun

Upcoming

45%ARI

55%JAX

ATLAS projected final

30ARI

27JAX

Confidence55%

Primary driverJ ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Jets

Jacksonville

2-6JAX

NOwnerNolte

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Ravens. The record says Jets.

Ravens bring the sharper yardage profile at 304 YPG with a #20 offense. Jets still own the cleaner path: 55% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Jets deeper into the race. Ravens need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Jets are favored

EDGEBall security - a +0.25 better turnover margin than Ravens.
EDGEGame script - Jets can tilt this if they keep Ravens out of short fields.

Why Ravens can win

EDGEScoreboard output - a 20.6 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEGame script - Ravens can tilt this if they keep Jets out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Ravens

Finish scoring drives

Ravens need their 20.6 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Jets

Win the clean possessions

Jets are the model side at 55%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Ravens can win the stat sheet; Jets can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Ravens need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Barnett

QB · Baltimore Ravens

1,812

PASS YDS

14TD

2INT

E. Spellman

HB · Baltimore Ravens

459

RUSH YDS

2TD

117ATT

J. Jefferson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

475

REC YDS

8TD

30REC

Jacksonville JaguarsSeason leaders

Jets lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

B. Morris

QB · New York Jets

1,275

PASS YDS

7TD

5INT

D. Crawford

HB · New York Jets

608

RUSH YDS

3TD

124ATT

G. Rutherford

WR · New York Jets

364

REC YDS

2TD

29REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Ravens2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Colts24-30

LW6@ Bengals10-22

LW5vs Browns8-31

WW4@ Vikings38-21

WW3vs Steelers24-21

Jets2-3 · last 5

WW7vs Giants23-17

LW6@ Bills7-27

LW5@ Bengals12-17

WW4@ Eagles21-17

LW3vs Patriots31-41

Head to head

Recent finals

JAX 1-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 2 meetings.

S4 · W10Ravens at JetsJAX30-14

S1 · W11Jets at RavensARI41-7