Game Center · S7 · W9 · Upcoming

Arizona at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 9

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Lions

Arizona

6-2ARI

TOwnerTheWitt

Upcoming

56%ARI

44%ARI

ATLAS projected final

34ARI

28ARI

Confidence56%

Primary driverL offense

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Saints

Arizona

3-5ARI

ROwnerRissa

🆚REMATCH

A ATLAS READ

Lions are favored, and the model agrees.

Lions enter with the model lean at 56% and enough statistical support to back the record. Saints need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Lions deeper into the race. Saints need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Saints are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #11 offense, 340 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEHome & head-to-head - won the last 2 meetings in this series.
EDGEBall security - a +1.00 better turnover margin than Lions.

Why Lions can win

EDGEYardage profile - #3 offense, 362 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 27.8 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Saints

Finish scoring drives

Saints need their 25.4 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Lions

Win the clean possessions

Lions are the model side at 56%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Saints can win the stat sheet; Lions can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Lions need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

M. Faupula

QB · Detroit Lions

1,775

PASS YDS

16TD

3INT

J. Gibbs

HB · Detroit Lions

519

RUSH YDS

3TD

62ATT

A. St. Brown

WR · Detroit Lions

507

REC YDS

3TD

40REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Saints lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

Z. Castle

QB · New Orleans Saints

2,243

PASS YDS

18TD

3INT

C. Jennings

HB · New Orleans Saints

349

RUSH YDS

6TD

75ATT

D. Kidd

WR · New Orleans Saints

700

REC YDS

7TD

59REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Lions4-1 · last 5

WW7vs Eagles23-20

WW6@ Packers22-16

WW5vs Vikings34-13

LW4@ Bears22-29

WW3vs Seahawks38-20

Saints2-3 · last 5

WW7vs Buccaneers31-24

LW6@ Commanders28-36

WW5@ Falcons41-10

LW4@ Titans24-28

LW3vs Falcons21-42

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 3-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 4 meetings.

S5 · W6Saints at LionsARI27-21

S4 · W18Saints at LionsARI37-13

S3 · W2Lions at SaintsARI24-21

S2 · W14Lions at SaintsARI41-35