Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming

Arizona at Buffalo

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Ravens

Arizona

3-5ARI

AOwnerA1_Shaun

Upcoming

37%ARI

63%BUF

ATLAS projected final

30ARI

32BUF

Confidence63%

Primary driverB ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Browns

Buffalo

4-4BUF

COwnerCPU

A ATLAS READ

Browns are favored, and the model agrees.

Browns enter with the model lean at 63% and enough statistical support to back the record. Ravens need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Browns deeper into the race. Ravens need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Browns are favored

EDGEScoreboard output - a 24.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +0.37 better turnover margin than Ravens.

Why Ravens can win

EDGEGame script - Ravens can tilt this if they keep Browns out of short fields.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Ravens

Finish scoring drives

Ravens need their 20.6 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Browns

Win the clean possessions

Browns are the model side at 63%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Ravens can win the stat sheet; Browns can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Ravens need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Barnett

QB · Baltimore Ravens

1,812

PASS YDS

14TD

2INT

E. Spellman

HB · Baltimore Ravens

459

RUSH YDS

2TD

117ATT

J. Jefferson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

475

REC YDS

8TD

30REC

Buffalo BillsSeason leaders

Browns lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. McGill

QB · Cleveland Browns

1,804

PASS YDS

15TD

4INT

Q. Judkins

HB · Cleveland Browns

538

RUSH YDS

6TD

113ATT

T. Dell

WR · Cleveland Browns

422

REC YDS

2TD

38REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Ravens2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Colts24-30

LW6@ Bengals10-22

LW5vs Browns8-31

WW4@ Vikings38-21

WW3vs Steelers24-21

Browns2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Dolphins7-36

LW6vs Rams7-29

WW5@ Ravens31-8

WW4@ Seahawks34-13

LW3@ Bengals28-31

Head to head

Recent finals

BUF 1-4 ARIRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.

S7 · W5Browns at RavensBUF31-8

S6 · W14Browns at RavensARI43-31

S6 · W12Ravens at BrownsARI35-27

S5 · W12Ravens at BrownsARI34-17

S5 · W8Browns at RavensARI24-0