Game Center · S7 · W10 · Upcoming

Arizona at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 10

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Chargers

Arizona

3-5ARI

GOwnerGio

Upcoming

36%ARI

64%ARI

ATLAS projected final

31ARI

33ARI

Confidence64%

Primary driverR ball security + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Raiders

Arizona

3-5ARI

SOwnerSheldon Scott

A ATLAS READ

Raiders are favored, and the model agrees.

Raiders enter with the model lean at 64% and enough statistical support to back the record. Chargers need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Raiders deeper into the race. Chargers need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Raiders are favored

EDGEYardage profile - #5 offense, 347 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEBall security - a +0.25 better turnover margin than Chargers.
EDGEDefensive floor - a #11 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.

Why Chargers can win

EDGEYardage profile - #6 offense, 346 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.0 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Chargers

Finish scoring drives

Chargers need their 28.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Raiders

Win the clean possessions

Raiders are the model side at 64%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Chargers can win the stat sheet; Raiders can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Chargers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. Herbert

QB · Los Angeles Chargers

1,964

PASS YDS

19TD

5INT

O. Hampton

HB · Los Angeles Chargers

387

RUSH YDS

5TD

68ATT

L. McConkey

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

676

REC YDS

7TD

47REC

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Raiders lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Bolton

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

1,826

PASS YDS

13TD

3INT

A. Jeanty

HB · Las Vegas Raiders

768

RUSH YDS

6TD

124ATT

D. Thornton Jr.

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

628

REC YDS

3TD

50REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Chargers2-3 · last 5

WW7@ Broncos34-31

LW6vs Raiders24-27

LW5vs Broncos28-35

WW4vs Jaguars30-17

LW3@ Titans25-28

Raiders2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Chiefs13-24

WW6@ Chargers27-24

LW5vs Titans21-27

LW4vs Bills14-24

WW3@ Jaguars35-10

Head to head

Recent finals

ARI 1-4 ARIRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.

S7 · W6Raiders at ChargersARI27-24

S6 · W14Chargers at RaidersARI21-20

S6 · W5Raiders at ChargersARI27-0

S5 · W13Chargers at RaidersARI42-21

S5 · W11Raiders at ChargersARI31-28