Snapshot view2026-06-10
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Game Center · S7 · W9 · Upcoming

Arizona at Arizona

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 9
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Commanders
Arizona
4-3ARI
IOwnerI2onDon
Upcoming
50%ARI
50%ARI
ATLAS projected final
30ARI
-
25ARI
Confidence50%
Primary driverS home field + home field
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Seahawks
Arizona
3-4ARI
NOwnernickpapura23
📊COIN FLIP
A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Commanders. The record says Seahawks.

Commanders bring the sharper yardage profile at 366 YPG with a #17 offense. Seahawks still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Seahawks deeper into the race. Commanders need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Seahawks are favored
  • EDGEGame script - Seahawks can tilt this if they keep Commanders out of short fields.
Why Commanders can win
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.6 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +1.28 better turnover margin than Seahawks.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #8 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Commanders

Finish scoring drives

Commanders need their 28.6 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Seahawks

Win the clean possessions

Seahawks are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Commanders can win the stat sheet; Seahawks can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Commanders need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

JD
J. Daniels
QB · Washington Commanders
2,031
PASS YDS
19TD
2INT
MM
M. McDermott
HB · Washington Commanders
369
RUSH YDS
6TD
107ATT
WR
W. Robinson
WR · Washington Commanders
661
REC YDS
8TD
38REC
Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Seahawks lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

JM
J. Milroe
QB · Seattle Seahawks
2,121
PASS YDS
18TD
10INT
JB
J. Brooks
HB · Seattle Seahawks
139
RUSH YDS
2TD
48ATT
JW
J. Williams
WR · Seattle Seahawks
609
REC YDS
9TD
46REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Commanders3-2 · last 5
WW7@ Vikings28-21
WW6vs Saints36-28
LW4vs Cowboys35-41
WW3@ Eagles35-14
LW2vs Lions21-31
Seahawks2-3 · last 5
LW7@ Rams24-45
WW6@ 49ers29-28
LW4vs Browns13-34
LW3@ Lions20-38
WW2vs Panthers30-24
05

Head to head

Recent finals
ARI 2-1 ARIRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S5 · W5Commanders at SeahawksARI28-13
S2 · W0Seahawks at CommandersARI38-33
S1 · W8Seahawks at CommandersARI34-24