Game Center · S7 · W11 · Upcoming

Arizona at Buffalo

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 7 . Week 11

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME

Away

Seahawks

Arizona

3-4ARI

NOwnernickpapura23

Upcoming

40%ARI

60%BUF

ATLAS projected final

18ARI

20BUF

Confidence60%

Primary driverB defense + home field

Spread

Total

Money

Home

Buccaneers

Buffalo

3-4BUF

SOwnerSignman

A ATLAS READ

The numbers say Seahawks. The record says Buccaneers.

Seahawks bring the sharper yardage profile at 336 YPG with a #23 offense. Buccaneers still own the cleaner path: 60% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Buccaneers deeper into the race. Seahawks need the upset to change the shape of their season.

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way

Why Buccaneers are favored

EDGEDefensive floor - a #2 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
EDGEGame script - Buccaneers can tilt this if they keep Seahawks out of short fields.

Why Seahawks can win

EDGEScoreboard output - a 24.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
EDGEBall security - a +0.57 better turnover margin than Buccaneers.

Keys to the game

What decides it

1Seahawks

Finish scoring drives

Seahawks need their 24.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Buccaneers

Win the clean possessions

Buccaneers are the model side at 60%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Seahawks can win the stat sheet; Buccaneers can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

Star spotlight

Season leaders

Arizona CardinalsSeason leaders

Seahawks need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

J. Milroe

QB · Seattle Seahawks

2,121

PASS YDS

18TD

10INT

J. Brooks

HB · Seattle Seahawks

139

RUSH YDS

2TD

48ATT

J. Williams

WR · Seattle Seahawks

609

REC YDS

9TD

46REC

Buffalo BillsSeason leaders

Buccaneers lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

C. Taggart

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1,610

PASS YDS

16TD

7INT

B. Richardson

HB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

344

RUSH YDS

0TD

98ATT

T. Palmer

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

620

REC YDS

7TD

38REC

Recent form

Last 5 games

Seahawks2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Rams24-45

WW6@ 49ers29-28

LW4vs Browns13-34

LW3@ Lions20-38

WW2vs Panthers30-24

Buccaneers2-3 · last 5

LW7@ Saints24-31

WW5vs Colts17-9

LW4@ Falcons16-21

LW3vs Bills24-30

WW2vs 49ers21-17

Head to head

Recent finals

BUF 1-2 ARIRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.

S4 · W3Seahawks at BuccaneersARI27-14

S3 · W15Buccaneers at SeahawksBUF44-41

S1 · W4Buccaneers at SeahawksARI24-23