Game Center · S1 · W17 · Upcoming
Detroit at Chicago
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . Season 1 . Week 17
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIMEAway
Don (Lions)
Lions
Detroit
4-0DET
Don (Lions)Upcoming
Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.
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Troy (Bears)
Bears
Chicago
1-3CHI
Troy (Bears)A ATLAS READ
The numbers say Lions. The record says Bears.
Lions bring the sharper yardage profile at 514 YPG with a #1 offense. Bears still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
Why it mattersA win pulls Bears deeper into the race. Lions need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Bears are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #8 offense, 408 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- RISKTurnovers - a -2.50 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
Why Lions can win
- EDGEYardage profile - #1 offense, 514 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 57.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +5.25 better turnover margin than Bears.
02
Keys to the game
1Lions
Finish scoring drives
Lions need their 57.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Bears
Win the clean possessions
Bears are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
Lions can win the stat sheet; Bears can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
Detroit Lions
Lions need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
J. Goff
QB · Detroit Lions
1,142
PASS YDS
15TD
3INT
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
754
RUSH YDS
10TD
57ATT
J. Williams
WR · Detroit Lions
490
REC YDS
7TD
16REC
Chicago Bears
Bears lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
C. Williams
QB · Chicago Bears
1,340
PASS YDS
13TD
14INT
D. Swift
HB · Chicago Bears
210
RUSH YDS
1TD
38ATT
Z. Thomas
WR · Chicago Bears
394
REC YDS
2TD
14REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
CHI 0-5 DETRecent finals across the latest 5 meetings.
S6 · W7Lions at BearsDET34-31
S6 · W2Bears at LionsDET45-42
S5 · W12Bears at LionsDET24-21
S5 · W8Lions at BearsDET24-14
S4 · W10Lions at BearsDET31-28