Dallas at Seattle
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Clutch (Cowboys)Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.
Dragon Caesar (Seahawks)Seahawks are favored, and the model agrees.
Cowboys bring the sharper yardage profile at 314 YPG with a #23 offense. Seahawks still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.
The case for each side
- EDGEGame script - Seahawks can tilt this if they keep Cowboys out of short fields.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 28.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEBall security - a +1.25 better turnover margin than Seahawks.
Keys to the game
Finish scoring drives
Cowboys need their 28.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
Win the clean possessions
Seahawks are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
Scoreboard over shape
Cowboys can win the stat sheet; Seahawks can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
Star spotlight
Cowboys need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
Seahawks lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.
