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Game Center · S1 · W13 · Upcoming

San Francisco at New York

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . Season 1 . Week 13
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
49ers
San Francisco
2-1SF
Z (49ers) Discord avatarZ (49ers)
Upcoming

Forecast pending - lines post after the next sync.

Home
Giants
New York
1-2NYG
Nolte (Giants) Discord avatarNolte (Giants)
📊COIN FLIP
A ATLAS READ

The numbers say 49ers. The record says Giants.

49ers bring the sharper yardage profile at 343 YPG with a #27 offense. Giants still own the cleaner path: 50% by ATLAS, steadier possession math, and the home-field tilt.

Why it mattersA win pulls Giants deeper into the race. 49ers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Giants are favored
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
  • EDGEGame script - Giants can tilt this if they keep 49ers out of short fields.
Why 49ers can win
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 31.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.34 better turnover margin than Giants.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #5 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
149ers

Finish scoring drives

49ers need their 31.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Giants

Win the clean possessions

Giants are the model side at 50%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

49ers can win the stat sheet; Giants can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
San Francisco 49ersSeason leaders

49ers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

B. Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers
630
PASS YDS
5TD
4INT
C. McCaffrey
HB · San Francisco 49ers
362
RUSH YDS
5TD
50ATT
M. Evans
WR · San Francisco 49ers
162
REC YDS
2TD
10REC
New York GiantsSeason leaders

Giants lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the model edge.

J. Dart
QB · New York Giants
626
PASS YDS
4TD
4INT
C. Skattebo
HB · New York Giants
225
RUSH YDS
3TD
42ATT
J. Hyatt
WR · New York Giants
174
REC YDS
0TD
8REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
49ers2-1 · last 3
WW3vs Cardinals32-28
LW2vs Dolphins31-49
WW1@ Rams31-28
Giants1-2 · last 3
LW3vs Titans25-49
WW2@ Rams42-37
LW1vs Cowboys7-27
05

Head to head

Recent finals
NYG 2-1 SFRecent finals across the latest 3 meetings.
S5 · W849ers at GiantsNYG45-43
S2 · W6Giants at 49ersSF54-37
S1 · W949ers at GiantsNYG43-41