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Game Center · S98 · W5 · Upcoming

New York at Indianapolis

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . S98 . Week 5
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Jets
New York
3-1NYJ
Shottaz (Jets) Discord avatarShottaz (Jets)
Upcoming
76%NYJ
24%IND
ATLAS projected final
45NYJ
-
29IND
Confidence80%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Colts
Indianapolis
2-2IND
Chokolate (Colts) Discord avatarChokolate (Colts)
🔒MISMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Jets are favored, and the model agrees.

Jets enter with the model lean at 76% heading into this matchup. Colts need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Jets deeper into the race. Colts need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Jets are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #5 offense, 437 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • RISKTurnovers - a -0.50 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 34.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Colts can win
  • EDGEBall security - a +1.50 better turnover margin than Jets.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #12 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Colts

Finish scoring drives

Colts need their 26.5 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Jets

Win the clean possessions

Jets are the model side at 76%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Colts can win the stat sheet; Jets can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
New York JetsSeason leaders

Jets need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

C. Williams
QB · New York Jets
1,091
PASS YDS
8TD
6INT
B. Hall
HB · New York Jets
584
RUSH YDS
7TD
67ATT
G. Wilson
WR · New York Jets
298
REC YDS
1TD
15REC
Indianapolis ColtsSeason leaders

Colts lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

R. Agnew
QB · Indianapolis Colts
796
PASS YDS
6TD
3INT
J. Taylor
HB · Indianapolis Colts
572
RUSH YDS
7TD
67ATT
A. Pierce
WR · Indianapolis Colts
342
REC YDS
3TD
14REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Jets3-1 · last 4
LW4vs Jaguars22-41
WW3@ Patriots30-28
WW2@ Buccaneers34-29
WW1@ Dolphins52-37
Colts2-2 · last 4
WW4@ Raiders32-29
LW3vs Browns27-28
WW2vs Texans26-14
LW1@ Panthers21-35
05

Head to head

Recent finals
IND 0-0 NYJRecent finals across the latest 0 meetings.

No recent head-to-head finals.