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Game Center · S98 · W5 · Upcoming

Dallas at Detroit

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . S98 . Week 5
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Cowboys
Dallas
3-1DAL
Clutch (Cowboys) Discord avatarClutch (Cowboys)
Upcoming
67%DAL
33%DET
ATLAS projected final
40DAL
-
34DET
Confidence71%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Lions
Detroit
0-4DET
Don (Lions) Discord avatarDon (Lions)
A ATLAS READ

Yardage favors Lions. ATLAS favors Cowboys.

Lions bring the sharper yardage profile at 408 YPG with a #14 offense. Cowboys still own the cleaner path: 67% by ATLAS despite playing away.

Why it mattersA win pulls Cowboys deeper into the race. Lions need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Cowboys are favored
  • EDGEBall security - a +2.75 better turnover margin than Lions.
  • EDGEGame script - Cowboys can tilt this if they keep Lions out of short fields.
Why Lions can win
  • RISKTurnovers - a -1.75 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 35.5 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Lions

Protect the football

Lions have the yardage profile, but a -1.75 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.

2Cowboys

Win the clean possessions

Cowboys are the model side at 67%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Lions can win the stat sheet; Cowboys can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
Dallas CowboysSeason leaders

Cowboys need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

D. Prescott
QB · Dallas Cowboys
821
PASS YDS
7TD
5INT
J. Williams
HB · Dallas Cowboys
383
RUSH YDS
4TD
52ATT
C. Lamb
WR · Dallas Cowboys
330
REC YDS
5TD
21REC
Detroit LionsSeason leaders

Lions lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

J. Goff
QB · Detroit Lions
835
PASS YDS
8TD
11INT
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
478
RUSH YDS
7TD
49ATT
J. Gibbs
HB · Detroit Lions
473
REC YDS
6TD
23REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Cowboys3-1 · last 4
WW4vs Commanders41-37
WW3vs Giants38-10
LW2@ Commanders14-40
WW1@ Giants14-13
Lions0-4 · last 4
LW4@ Packers38-39
LW3vs 49ers24-48
LW2vs Bengals38-59
LW1vs Vikings42-44
05

Head to head

Recent finals
DET 0-0 DALRecent finals across the latest 0 meetings.

No recent head-to-head finals.