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Game Center · S98 · W6 · Upcoming

New Orleans at Dallas

Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.

Game Center . S98 . Week 6
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Saints
New Orleans
4-1NO
Kerm Discord avatarKerm
Upcoming
30%NO
70%DAL
ATLAS projected final
36NO
-
41DAL
Confidence70%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Cowboys
Dallas
4-1DAL
Clutch Discord avatarClutch
⚔️STRENGTH CLASH
A ATLAS READ

Yardage favors Saints. ATLAS favors Cowboys.

Saints bring the sharper yardage profile at 528 YPG with a #2 offense. Cowboys still own the cleaner path: 70% by ATLAS, with home field on their side.

Why it mattersA win pulls Cowboys deeper into the race. Saints need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Cowboys are favored
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.40 better turnover margin than Saints.
  • EDGEDefensive floor - a #6 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why Saints can win
  • EDGEYardage profile - #2 offense, 528 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 45.8 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Saints

Finish scoring drives

Saints need their 45.8 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Cowboys

Win the clean possessions

Cowboys are the model side at 70%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Saints can win the stat sheet; Cowboys can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
New Orleans SaintsSeason leaders

Saints need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

T. Shough
QB · New Orleans Saints
1,617
PASS YDS
20TD
6INT
T. Etienne Jr
HB · New Orleans Saints
909
RUSH YDS
10TD
77ATT
J. Johnson
TE · New Orleans Saints
383
REC YDS
3TD
23REC
Dallas CowboysSeason leaders

Cowboys lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

D. Prescott
QB · Dallas Cowboys
1,053
PASS YDS
10TD
6INT
J. Williams
HB · Dallas Cowboys
426
RUSH YDS
4TD
61ATT
C. Lamb
WR · Dallas Cowboys
481
REC YDS
8TD
26REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Saints4-1 · last 5
WW5@ Texans42-26
LW4@ Falcons54-55
WW3vs Bears49-28
WW2@ Eagles48-38
WW1@ Cardinals36-35
Cowboys4-1 · last 5
WW5@ Lions35-13
WW4vs Commanders41-37
WW3vs Giants38-10
LW2@ Commanders14-40
WW1@ Giants14-13
05

Head to head

Recent finals
DAL 0-0 NORecent finals across the latest 0 meetings.

No recent head-to-head finals.