Game Center · S98 · W6 · Upcoming
San Francisco at Washington
Pre-game preview with ATLAS win probability, projected box, season matchup, recent form, head-to-head, and the players who decide it.
Game Center . S98 . Week 6
Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
29%SF
71%WSH
ATLAS projected final
30SF
-37WSH
Confidence71%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
A ATLAS READ
Commanders are favored, and the model agrees.
Commanders enter with the model lean at 71% heading into this matchup. 49ers need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.
Why it mattersA win pulls Commanders deeper into the race. 49ers need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01
The case for each side
Why Commanders are favored
- EDGEYardage profile - #12 offense, 412 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
- EDGEScoreboard output - a 40.4 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
- EDGEDefensive floor - a #7 yardage defense keeps the upset script alive.
Why 49ers can win
- EDGEBall security - a +0.60 better turnover margin than Commanders.
- EDGEGame script - 49ers can tilt this if they keep Commanders out of short fields.
02
Keys to the game
149ers
Finish scoring drives
49ers need their 34.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.
2Commanders
Win the clean possessions
Commanders are the model side at 71%, so avoiding short fields is the job.
3Both teams
Scoreboard over shape
49ers can win the stat sheet; Commanders can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.
03
Star spotlight
San Francisco 49ers
49ers need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.
B. Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers
981
PASS YDS
10TD
3INT
C. McCaffrey
HB · San Francisco 49ers
532
RUSH YDS
7TD
89ATT
R. Pearsall
WR · San Francisco 49ers
262
REC YDS
3TD
20REC
Washington Commanders
Commanders lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.
J. Daniels
QB · Washington Commanders
1,396
PASS YDS
11TD
4INT
J. Croskey-Merritt
HB · Washington Commanders
477
RUSH YDS
5TD
69ATT
C. Okonkwo
TE · Washington Commanders
386
REC YDS
2TD
22REC
04
Recent form
05
Head to head
WSH 0-0 SFRecent finals across the latest 0 meetings.
No recent head-to-head finals.