Game Center · S98 · W7 · Upcoming

Philadelphia at Atlanta

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
28%PHI
72%ATL
ATLAS projected final
28PHI
-
35ATL
Confidence72%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
H2H11-1 Ronfk
Spread
Total
Money
A ATLAS READ

Falcons are favored, and the model agrees.

Falcons enter with the model lean at 72% heading into this matchup. Eagles need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Falcons deeper into the race. Eagles need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Falcons are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #7 offense, 424 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 40.3 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.33 better turnover margin than Eagles.
Why Eagles can win
  • EDGEGame script - Eagles can tilt this if they keep Falcons out of short fields.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Eagles

Finish scoring drives

Eagles need their 29.3 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Falcons

Win the clean possessions

Falcons are the model side at 72%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Eagles can win the stat sheet; Falcons can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Eagles0-5 · last 5
LW6 @ Patriots41-44
LW5 vs Bills10-24
LW4 @ Panthers35-49
LW3 vs Buccaneers24-28
LW2 vs Saints38-48
Falcons5-0 · last 5
WW6 vs Texans42-16
WW5 @ Giants39-32
WW4 vs Saints55-54
WW3 @ Titans51-14
WW2 vs Patriots48-15
05

Head to head

First meeting.

League pulse
ATLAS LIVE