Game Center · S98 · W7 · Upcoming

New England at New York

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Away
Patriots
New England
2-4NE
BDiddy86 Discord avatarBDiddy86
Upcoming
26%NE
74%NYJ
ATLAS projected final
30NE
-
40NYJ
Confidence74%
Primary driverH2h Dominance
H2H5-0 Saucy0134
Spread
Total
Money
Home
Jets
New York
4-1NYJ
Shottaz Discord avatarShottaz
🔒MISMATCH
A ATLAS READ

Jets are favored, and the model agrees.

Jets enter with the model lean at 74% heading into this matchup. Patriots need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Jets deeper into the race. Patriots need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Jets are favored
  • EDGEYardage profile - #11 offense, 464 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 37.4 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
  • EDGEBall security - a +1.10 better turnover margin than Patriots.
Why Patriots can win
  • EDGEYardage profile - #12 offense, 388 YPG, and enough volume to stress the matchup.
  • RISKTurnovers - a -1.50 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Patriots

Protect the football

Patriots have the yardage profile, but a -1.50 turnover margin is the leak they have to seal.

2Jets

Win the clean possessions

Jets are the model side at 74%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Patriots can win the stat sheet; Jets can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
New England PatriotsSeason leaders

Patriots need their leaders to turn production into clean possessions.

D. Maye
QB · New England Patriots
1,355
PASS YDS
8TD
11INT
T. Henderson
HB · New England Patriots
642
RUSH YDS
7TD
83ATT
K. Williams
WR · New England Patriots
342
REC YDS
1TD
26REC
New York JetsSeason leaders

Jets lean on their leaders to control pace and protect the football.

C. Williams
QB · New York Jets
1,454
PASS YDS
12TD
6INT
B. Hall
HB · New York Jets
745
RUSH YDS
9TD
87ATT
O. Cooper Jr.
WR · New York Jets
355
REC YDS
5TD
21REC
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Patriots1-4 · last 5
WW6 vs Eagles44-41
LW5 @ Commanders21-46
LW4 @ Dolphins10-16
LW3 vs Jets28-30
LW2 @ Falcons15-48
Jets4-1 · last 5
WW5 @ Colts49-35
LW4 vs Jaguars22-41
WW3 @ Patriots30-28
WW2 @ Buccaneers34-29
WW1 @ Dolphins52-37
05

Head to head

Recent finals
NYJ 1-0 NERecent finals across the latest 1 meetings.
S2 · W3Jets at PatriotsNYJ30-28
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