Game Center · S98 · W8 · Upcoming

Detroit at Minnesota

Kickoff TBA.ATLAS PRIME
Upcoming
67%DET
33%MIN
ATLAS projected final
34DET
-
27MIN
Confidence72%
Primary driverBalanced
Spread
Total
Money
A ATLAS READ

Lions are favored, and the model agrees.

Lions enter with the model lean at 67% heading into this matchup. Vikings need a clean, explosive script to bend the pre-game numbers.

Why it mattersA win pulls Lions deeper into the race. Vikings need the upset to change the shape of their season.
01

The case for each side

Why the model leans this way
Why Lions are favored
  • RISKTurnovers - a -0.43 margin keeps turning good drives into pressure.
  • EDGEScoreboard output - a 37.9 PPG scoring clip gives them a real path.
Why Vikings can win
  • EDGEBall security - a +0.14 better turnover margin than Lions.
  • EDGEGame script - Vikings can tilt this if they keep Lions out of short fields.
02

Keys to the game

What decides it
1Vikings

Finish scoring drives

Vikings need their 23.0 PPG pace to turn into touchdowns instead of empty yards.

2Lions

Win the clean possessions

Lions are the model side at 67%, so avoiding short fields is the job.

3Both teams

Scoreboard over shape

Vikings can win the stat sheet; Lions can win the possession math. The winner is whoever makes yards count.

03

Star spotlight

Season leaders
04

Recent form

Last 5 games
Lions2-3 · last 5
WW7 @ Raiders62-44
WW6 @ Cardinals48-17
LW5 vs Cowboys13-35
LW4 @ Packers38-39
LW3 vs 49ers24-48
Vikings1-4 · last 5
LW7 @ Chiefs8-38
WW6 vs Packers24-16
LW5 vs Broncos24-41
LW4 vs Browns6-42
LW3 @ Seahawks28-38
05

Head to head

Recent finals
MIN 1-0 DETRecent finals across the latest 1 meetings.
S2 · W1Vikings at LionsMIN44-42